Text: Probability with R by R. Dobrow (textbook R scripts and errata)
(freely available as Ebook through Five Colleges library catalog and through Moodle course page)
Date 
Topic 
Assigned Work and Class Materials 
9/46  
Tu 
Introduction to probability (1.11.4) To install R: R and RStudio To use R via server: r.amherst.edu 

Th  1.51.6 Counting principles and intro to R lab  
9/1013 

M 
3.4 More counting principles and practice problems  
Tu 
1.71.10 Random variables and simulation in R lab  
Th 
2.12.3 Conditional probability and practice problems  Due today: 1.6, 1.12, R problem 
9/1720 

M 
2.42.6 Bayes formula and counting principles lab  
Tu 
3.13.3 Independence and practice problems  Due today: R problem 
Th 
3.43.6 Binomial distribution and practice problems  Due today: 1.16, 1.22, 1.28, 1.36, 3.18, 2.2, 2.6, 2.10 
9/2427  
M 
3.73.9 Poisson distribution and practice problems  
Tu 
Class starts at noon today 4.14.4 Random variables 
Due today: R problem 
Th 
4.64.10 Variance of RVs and practice problems  Due today: 2.14, 2.17, 2.26, 3.4, 3.22, 3.24, 3.26, 3.31, 3.36, 3.40 
10/14 

M 
5.15.2 Discrete distributions and R code  
Tu 
5.35.5 More on discrete distributions and practice problems  Due today: R problem 
Th 
6.16.3 Continuous distributions and practice problems  Due today: 4.4, 4.12, 4.18, 4.28, 4.32, 4.36, 4.40, 4.46, 4.51 
10/69  Minibreak  
10/11 

Th 
6.4 Expectation and variance (practice problems from actuarial exam)  Due today: 5.2, 5.10, 5.11, 5.20, 5.23 
10/1518 

M 
Review problems with exam1 overview and More review problems for class 

Tu 
Exam 1  
Th 
6.56.6 Exponential distribution and R code  Due today: R problem 
10/2225  
M 
6.7 Joint distributions  
Tu 
6.86.9 Joint distributions and practice problems and R code  Due today: R problem 
Th 
6.106.11 More functions of RVs and practice problems  Due today: 5.25, 5.28, 5.30, 6.2, 6.12, 6.20 
10/2911/1 

M 
Finish Ch6, 10.2  
Tu 
7.1 Normal distribution and R code  Due today: R problem 
Th 
7.2 Gamma distribution and practice problems in R  Due today: 6.22, 6.24, 6.30, 6.32, 6.34 
11/58 

M 
7.37.6 Poisson process, beta, Pareto and R code  
Tu 
8.1 Conditional distributions  Project topic due today (email brief description) 
Th 
8.28.4 Conditional expectation and practice problems  Due today: 6.40, 10.10, 7.2, 7.6, 7.15, 7.21 
11/1215 

M 
8.58.6 Conditional variance and practice problems  
Tu 
9.19.2 Law of Large Numbers and R code  Due today: R problem 
Th 
9.19.2 Law of Large Numbers, cont'd, and R code  Due today: 7.22, 7.24, 7.29, 7.36, 7.40, 8.2, 8.4 
11/1724  Thanksgiving break  
11/2629 

M 
9.3 Monte Carlo integration and R code  
Tu 
9.4 Central Limit Theorem and R code  Due today: R problem 
Th 
9.5 Momentgenerating functions and practice problems  Due today: 8.12, 8.16, 8.22, 8.28, 9.8 
12/36 

M 
Review problems with exam 2 overview  
Tu 
Exam 2 (solns)  
Th 
10.1 Bivariate normal and R code  Due today: R problem 
12/1011  
M  10.6 MCMC and R code  
Tu  Wrap up  Due today: 9.12, 9.16, 9.24, 9.26, 9.28, 9.29, 10.4, 10.5 
Project report due Wed 12/12 (email) Final exam is Fri 12/21 9amnoon in SMudd 014 
Review for final exam 