Text: Probability with R by R. Dobrow (textbook R scripts and errata)
(freely available as Ebook through Five Colleges library catalog and through Moodle course page)
Date 
Topic 
Assigned Work and Class Materials 
9/46  
Tu 
Introduction to probability and R To install: R and RStudio To use via server: r.amherst.edu 

Th  1.11.4 Basics of probability  
9/1013 

M 
1.51.7 Basic properties  
Tu 
1.81.11, 3.4 Random variables, counting principles  
Th 
2.12.3 Conditional probability  Due today: 1.6, 1.12, R problem 
9/1720 

M 
2.42.6 Bayes formula  
Tu 
3.13.5 Independence  Due today: R problem 
Th 
3.63.9 Poisson distribution  Due today: 1.16, 1.22, 1.28, 1.36, 3.18, 2.2, 2.6, 2.10 
9/2427  
M 
4.14.4 Random variables  
Tu 
4.64.11 Variance of RVs  Due today: R problem 
Th 
5.15.3 Discrete distributions  Due today: 2.14, 2.17, 2.26, 3.4, 3.22, 3.24, 3.26, 3.31, 3.36, 3.40 
10/14 

M 
5.15.3 Discrete distributions, cont'd  
Tu 
5.45.6 More on discrete distributions  Due today: R problem 
Th 
6.16.3 Continuous distributions  Due today: 4.4, 4.12, 4.18, 4.28, 4.32, 4.36, 4.40, 4.46, 4.51 
10/69  Minibreak  
10/11 

Th 
6.4 Expectation and variance  Due today: 5.2, 5.10, 5.11, 5.20, 5.23 
10/1518 

M 
Review  
Tu 
Exam 1  
Th 
6.5 Exponential distribution  Due today: R problem 
10/2225  
M 
6.6 Functions of RVs  
Tu 
6.76.9 Joint distributions  Due today: R problem 
Th 
6.106.12 More functions of RVs  Due today: 5.26, 5.28, 5.30, 6.2, 6.12, 6.20 
10/2911/1 

M 
More on 6.6, 10.2, 6.1012  
Tu 
7.1 Normal distribution  Due today: R problem 
Th 
7.2 Gamma distribution  Due today: 6.22, 6.24, 6.30, 6.32, 6.34 
11/58 

M 
7.37.6 Poisson process, beta, Pareto  
Tu 
8.1 Conditional distributions  Project topic due today (email brief description) 
Th 
8.28.4 Conditional expectation  Due today: 6.40, 10.10, 7.2, 7.6, 7.15, 7.21 
11/1215 

M 
8.58.6 Conditional variance  
Tu 
9.19.2 Law of Large Numbers  Due today: R problem 
Th 
9.19.2 Law of Large Numbers, cont'd  Due today: 7.22, 7.24, 7.29, 7.36, 7.40, 8.2, 8.4 
11/1724  Thanksgiving break  
11/2629 

M 
9.3 Monte Carlo integration  
Tu 
9.4 Central Limit Theorem  Due today: R problem 
Th 
9.5 Momentgenerating functions  Due today: 8.12, 8.16, 8.22, 8.28, 9.8 
12/36 

M 
Review  
Tu 
Exam 2  
Th 
10.1 Bivariate normal  Due today: R problem 
12/1011  
M  10.6 MCMC  
Tu  Wrap up  Due today: 9.12, 9.16, 9.24, 9.26, 9.28, 9.29, 10.4, 10.5 
Project report due Wed 12/12 (email) Final exam TBA 